Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

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nomadbrad

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Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

PostTue Feb 02, 2021 11:13 am

Trying to decide which to play at LF and which to play at DH:

Roy Thomas 4(-2) e4

Ted Williams 3(-1)e11

Is the benefit of going from a "4" to a "3" in LF worth +1 in arm and +7 in errors?

For me it is very close and I'm having difficulty deciding if there is a difference and if so, which way should I go?

If you think the cap matters, the league is $120 DH....balance of small ball and power teams in the league.
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andycummings65

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Re: Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

PostTue Feb 02, 2021 11:43 am

I think I'd play Ted. That 3 means he has more of a chance to create an out on a fly ball than Thomas' 4, while the arm in LF comes into play MOST of the time once a hit is already recorded.
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jfreeman

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Re: Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

PostTue Feb 02, 2021 11:59 am

X-charts show that a 3 in LF has a 30% chance of giving up a hit. A 4-range has a 55% chance of the hit. Big difference between OF and IF is that the OF will give up doubles and triples based on range whereas IF will only give up SI.

2 Error gives it up on the 3 and 18 (1 base error) and 16 (2 base error).
11 error gives it up on the 4 and 16 (1 base error), 13 and 15 (2 base error) and 3 and 18 (3 base error).

Regardless of whether ranges ends up in a hit or not, error will get checked. Hate giving up the hit plus error. I'd err on the lower range in the OF.
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mykeedee

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Re: Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

PostTue Feb 02, 2021 4:06 pm

The defensive NERP difference between the two has Williams 1 run better than Thomas, and I believe the arm in left is substantially less important. I would put Thomas at DH.
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chaberlal

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Re: Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

PostTue Feb 02, 2021 6:43 pm

I would play Williams in LF for sure
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FrankieT

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Re: Which is the LFer and which is the DH ??

PostTue Feb 02, 2021 9:10 pm

The real moral of the story is Thomas is a terrible DH and you shouldn't ever use him.

Ever.

To help, I will reluctantly try to draft him whenever I can. You're welcome.

;)

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