100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

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Hittmens

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostMon Jul 08, 2019 8:34 pm

The Last Druid wrote:The following is only for ATG8 teams.

I have had 53 100+ win teams in ATG 8.

10 were eliminated in the semi's
14 were eliminated in the finals
29 won the league championship

19% lost in the semi's
81% made at least the finals
54.7 % got rings

I believe that these results strongly argue against a 100 win curse, although when a 100+ win team loses the semifinals, the loss becomes seared in one's memory as an unfair travesty and is thus more likely to influence one's perception that a 100 win curse exists.

I think you will find this stats pretty typical- However most of us have a much smaller sample size and that is why it appears skewed.
I have had 5 100 win teams with 4 championships and one finals loss
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nomadbrad

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostMon Jul 08, 2019 9:21 pm

I have had 606 ATG8 teams

433 of the teams have made post season = 71%

of the 433 teams 368 had sub 100 wins and 65 had 100+ wins

Sub 100 win teams = 368
-----------------------
37% = 136 lost semis
23% = 85 lost finals
40% = 147 won finals
======================================================

100+ win teams = 65
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25% = 16 lost semis
29% = 19 lost finals
46% = 30 won finals
======================================================

For me it's not a dramatic difference.....my percentage for finals wins is slightly better, but not to what I would expect...like 55% to 60% chamipionship rate for 100+ win teams.

======================================================

for me it appears I am CURSED at 110 + win teams

110 or more win teams = 16
-----------------------
31% = 5 lost semis
31% = 5 lost finals
38% = 6 won finals
======================================================

this rate is WORSE than my sub 100 win teams ! Someone explain that one to me :?
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sebastian

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostTue Jul 09, 2019 9:28 pm

I have only had "4" 100 win teams so not much of a sample but 3 have lost in the semis and 1 has won a championship so a dismal 25% rate for me
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Badjam

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostWed Jul 10, 2019 7:34 pm

21 100+
6 Champs
4 lost in finals
11 lost in semis or quarter final
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Guynick

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostWed Jul 10, 2019 10:39 pm

6 teams with 100 wins

3 champs
2 finals losses
1 quarterfinals loss

In individual cases, it’s cruel luck. More generally, it’s confirmation bias.
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KURTTHOMPSON

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostSun Jul 14, 2019 11:26 pm

7 ATG teams with 100+ wins

1 won it all
2 lost in finals
4 lost semis

leaving me a tad bit bitter
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Bunze0

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostWed Jul 17, 2019 8:46 pm

Went to look. 11 teams over 100 or more wins out of 163 teams.2 title. 2 lost final. 7 lost in semi
Last edited by Bunze0 on Wed Jul 17, 2019 8:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Bunze0

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostWed Jul 17, 2019 8:57 pm

7 semi losses tall guy 84 wins. Flaggia 93.crapgame ken 85. Tomwistar 88. 13 baseball 86. Gregory sellgren 83. Hackra 84.
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Treyomo

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostThu Jul 18, 2019 2:54 pm

19 teams:

-7 won title
-3 Lost Finals
-9 Lost semi-finals

Most painful one was a 106 win team in the semifinals of the Barnstormers a few years back that got swept out of the semis. I do believe that my typical team of very heavy hitting, light on D light on pitching is more susceptible to losing quick or, conversely, winning a title with a team that has no business winning it. But as was said earlier, that might be confirmation bias.
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egvrich

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Re: 100 Win Curse? Is it real? Post your numbers ...

PostFri Jul 19, 2019 10:09 am

Would love to see some more people share their results. Then for shits and grins I'll compile the results.
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