What comes after the secret formula?

Moderator: Palmtana

  • Author
  • Message
Offline

Valen

  • Posts: 2396
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:00 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostThu Feb 05, 2015 7:44 pm

baserunning is currently set to very aggressive as that is style of baseball I tend to root for.
4 1-17 runners
1 1-16
2 1-14
1 1-13
and then the catcher position which is a platoon between a 1-11 and a 1-12.

Rest of league is below. My outs are lowest in league and advances are pretty middle of the road. So thinking this would mean I should leave them at aggressive. And maybe those teams who are in double digits should consider changing to something more conservative. Only one team/league analysis but this small sample might imply that these results are more a function of the baserunners I have and not the conservative/aggressive team setting.

Opp Adv Out
110 43 5
138 67 9
104 34 14
115 45 11
117 44 13
119 63 7
85 28 16
91 21 9
107 43 7
107 36 12
93 41 8
Offline

Valen

  • Posts: 2396
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:00 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostFri Feb 06, 2015 8:37 pm

What about the bunting? Hit and Run?
How do you decide during the season if you need to adjust these settings?

I assume the manager profiles is the best place to start.
For example in one league after 54 games (1/3 mark of season) I see these numbers.

TEAM G SB CS SB% SAC--ATT SQZ-ATT H&R--ATT-ADV IBB
ACM 54 46 18 .719 21 26 1 1 0 0 0 15
AMA 54 8 7 .533 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 12
ARC 54 63 23 .733 19 22 4 5 6 29 15 25
CEN 54 20 7 .741 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16
DEA 54 68 32 .680 24 35 2 8 12 41 27 16
GRE 54 15 2 .882 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
HOG 54 14 9 .609 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
NEW 54 44 18 .710 20 24 1 2 2 26 17 16
THU 54 18 5 .783 8 9 0 1 1 2 2 6
VAT 54 24 7 .774 6 9 0 1 2 12 9 6
WAN 54 15 8 .652 6 6 1 1 0 6 1 5
WIL 54 7 8 .467 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
-------- ---- ---- --- ----- --- ---- --- --- --- ---- --- ----
TOTALS 324 342 144 .704 107 137 9 19 23 116 71 145

I worked with that some but could not get it to line up right.

If any of these were your teams which of these numbers would make you stop and take a closer look at your settings? Would you look first at your team settings or individual settings.

My team is ARC. I looked at my H&R team setting and it was already extra conservative. So I went to the individual settings and set just about everyone to not H&R. Previously I had the B H&R guys set for more.
Offline

Valen

  • Posts: 2396
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:00 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostWed Feb 11, 2015 12:22 am

Is there anywhere we can view how many times each of our hitters has been intentionally walked?
Anywhere I can view how many times each of my pitchers has issued an intentional walk?
Offline

wavygravy2k

  • Posts: 254
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:35 pm
  • Location: SF Bay Area

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostWed Feb 11, 2015 2:37 am

Valen wrote:Is there anywhere we can view how many times each of our hitters has been intentionally walked?
Anywhere I can view how many times each of my pitchers has issued an intentional walk?


Manager Profiles but it just has team totals. I had a boxscore search tool for the SN site. I might still have somewhere.
Stratomatic Online Daily Recap - http://baseballsimulator.com/stratomatic-online/
Offline

MARCPELLETIER

  • Posts: 935
  • Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 11:27 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostWed Feb 11, 2015 3:28 am

To answer your latest question about individual IBB: if you click on the "leader" section of the stats page, you have a list of the league's offensive leaders in intentional walks. Usually, you can find your top player who's being intentionally walked with that. But I am not aware that this is available for pitchers.

To come back to your intial question:

First thing I do when I assess my team on the run is to look at the inning distribution of my pitching staff. Is my best reliever underused? Which reliever is being the most used? Is the ratio of innings pitched from my SP vs my RP correspond to the strength of the team? In your case, Hoffman is the best reliever, by far, and yet he's one of the least used reliever in your team. Considering that there is no closer rule in your league, there is no need to limit Hoffman to the 9th inning. And in any case, you have Gordon, who is almost as good as Hoffman: he can take the load of closing situations and, since he's a 2-inning guy, there is increased chances that he won't get tired if there is a few bloop singles coming from Ebbetts Field. Hoffman should have at least 120 innings when the season ends, and yet he's on his way to less than 40. (I'll leave aside the question of what are the best settings for now). Whitey is your most used reliever. It's not clear to me if I would feel okay with that or not. He has a very good card, but Dibble has a better card, especially when you play at home. So unless there is an added value of turning switch hitters over the plate, which I doubt in your league, I wouldn't feel good with having my 4th or 5th reliever with the most innings in the bullpen, even if most of these innings come from mop-up situations---there are too many runs being scored in your league. So I guess I would try to maximize Hoffman use, have Gordon as the second setup/closer role, and have Dibble to pitch more often. Because you have 12 players, I think I would set up a R4 or R3 reliever (either Ryan or Marshall) to not come before the 8th, to make sure you have someone available and who can be fresh for a long time if the game is tied and goes to overitme.

Second thing, I go at the lefty/righty page to check if my specialist relievers are being used correctly. In your case, they are being used quite efficiently. I also look at the lefty/righty distribution of my SP to see if there is a trend in my league with regards to lineups being loaded of lefties or righties. In your case, there is a slight trend towards facing more right-handed hitters---might be something to consider if trade talks begin. I do the same for the offense, especially to make sure that my lefty-killers are not being overly used vs rhp. In one of my team, I had 8L Jeter who was constantly being used when my injury-prone dh would be hurt, so much that Jeter had as much at-bats vs rhp than vs lhp. Not sure why that was the case, but I simply dropped Jeter for another bat vs lhp.

Third thing, I switch to the sim-misc page. I look basically at everthing. I look for trends of "unlucky" rolls for the ballpark FX and the Hit/Pit Rolls. If there is a chance that my settings cause one of my reliever to be overused, the Hit/Pit ratio will show it by having much more hit rolls than pit rolls---that's how STRAT implements the "fatigue" mode on the computer game; by having more rolls on the offensive side. In your case, the only outlier among pitchers with more hit rolls than pit rolls is Brown, and I'm pretty sure this is a sign of bad luck rather than reflecting that you try to force him to pitch in a fatigue mode. On the offense side, I look at the clutch outs. Duffy already has 5 clutch outs. Would it make sense to have hit second hitter? or way low, at 8th or even 9th spot? You have stellar number for baserunning, I wouldn't touch anything on this. But it seems that your team has not tried a single time to pinch hit. Even though your starting lineup is quite potent, it's hard to believe that Matt Williams would never come out of the bench and try to hit a homerun vs lhp? I would certainly change the settings, try different things to induce Hal to use your bench.
Offline

Valen

  • Posts: 2396
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:00 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostFri Feb 13, 2015 9:00 pm

Some excellent analysis and advice Marc.

On Ford getting the most innings he and Ryan are set for mopup. If I counted right he has been in 26 games and Hoffman 21. But with Ford as I looked at my team while reading your post note he does have almost twice as many innings as Ryan. That makes me realize I have been on the lazy side and not followed through on my preseason plans of swapping their order back and forth based on opponents. A timely reminder as I am visiting minute maid so would want Ryan to be first out of pen if mopup is needed.

Hit/Pit Rolls. If there is a chance that my settings cause one of my reliever to be overused, the Hit/Pit ratio will show it by having much more hit rolls than pit rolls---that's how STRAT implements the "fatigue" mode on the computer game

Excellent advice and something I have not been doing.

Duffy already is #2 slot against righties. Have him hitting 3rd against lefties since Jennings and Hamilton both have OBP well over .400.

Brown is quick hook. I just added max 6 to his settings. Also have Koufax and Clemens on quick hook. Going with concept that more rolls on hitter card could reflect fatigue added max 7 innings to Koufax.

Good point on Williams. Made him PH against lefties and changed Mathews to avoid LH. Could have swore I already had that. Momma told me not to swear. Should have listened. :lol:
Offline

MARCPELLETIER

  • Posts: 935
  • Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 11:27 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostFri Feb 13, 2015 11:22 pm

About the hit/pit rolls for a specific pitcher, it's often hard to distinguish between an unlucky distribution and a sign that this given pitcher is being used in a fatigued mode. I mostly relie on individual games, and look with my naked eyes at how many at-bats this given pitcher has been used with lower-than-9 F-rating.
Offline

tcochran

  • Posts: 9808
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 4:23 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostSat Feb 14, 2015 12:30 am

You could also look at SP vs. RP performance. Strat allows managers to develop super relievers, who can be incredibly effective. For example, here's a squad with Aroldis Chapman winning the Cy Young Award and Raul Valdes coming in second:
http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/team/1024241

Or the same team in a second season, with Valdes winning the CYA:
http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/team/1109349

Even with a pedestrian starting rotation, you can organize the settings to make the best use of the talent available.
Offline

MARCPELLETIER

  • Posts: 935
  • Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 11:27 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostWed Feb 18, 2015 11:36 pm

Valen,

Looking at your team after 90 games, why do you bench Hoffman? He hasn't pitched since game 80!!! In that span, you lost games in overtime, you lost games your team led!!

If i were you, i'll put Hoffman as your top reliever in all categories, except mop up and specilist. Main point is I would put him top as early as middle man. I'll put Gordon as your second option, from middle to closer, and i would probably put dibble with the option "don't come before the 8th", to make sure you have him to close the game if hoffman and gordon have been used.
Offline

Valen

  • Posts: 2396
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:00 pm

Re: What comes after the secret formula?

PostThu Feb 19, 2015 5:38 pm

I did not intend to bench hoffman.

I actually added setup role thinking I would get him used more.

Looks like it backfired. Removed that yesterday and he got used twice last night. Guess I violated my own rule of not giving HAL too much to think about and shot myself in the foot.
PreviousNext

Return to Strat-O-Matic Baseball 365 20xx

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: dalekeener and 1 guest