100 Wins and 450 Steals

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MrHacktastic

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 3:40 pm

that's an awesome team. Nice job Durant. Those games must have been fun to watch play out.
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AeroDave10

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 4:22 pm

Mean Dean wrote:If you're waiting for a 77% chance to steal home, you'll never steal home in your life. It's a straight -9 off the second number (pitcher's hold and catcher's arm don't enter into it), and you rarely see a second number higher than 15, so you'll hardly ever see a chance better than 30%.

46.2% on steals of home is honestly rather astonishing, and I bet represents a lot of lucky rolls ;) I'd sure as hell take that success rate, at least if the attempts were with two outs, or maybe one out and the #8 hitter up in a non-DH.


I agree that stealing a run half the time without worrying if the batter up to bat will extend the inning or not is probably worth the risk, especially if you have a weak hitter and there are two outs.

Guess I was looking more at the 3rd base steal rate. From what I've heard, the big drawback of the generalized "aggressive" or "very aggressive" made the stealing of 2nd go up and still maintain a decent rate, while the thefts of 3rd became risky to the point of foolishness.
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Mean Dean

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 4:51 pm

Yeah, especially since the PC game lets you set the minimum success rate at which you want to steal, it'd make more sense if "aggressive" meant to steal more often at a given success rate, rather than to steal at a lower success rate. I'm still not sure that it doesn't mean that. It actually wouldn't be difficult to discover... just sim a whole bunch of seasons on the various settings. I should do it.

The PC game doesn't let you distinguish strategies for stealing 2nd/3rd/home. That would be a pretty logical addition.
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MrHacktastic

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 5:18 pm

Mean Dean wrote:Yeah, especially since the PC game lets you set the minimum success rate at which you want to steal, it'd make more sense if "aggressive" meant to steal more often at a given success rate, rather than to steal at a lower success rate. I'm still not sure that it doesn't mean that. It actually wouldn't be difficult to discover... just sim a whole bunch of seasons on the various settings. I should do it.

The PC game doesn't let you distinguish strategies for stealing 2nd/3rd/home. That would be a pretty logical addition.


I agree with everything you wrote. I love to steal bags but the system is pedestrian at best. I have no idea why they don't just let us choose a % at which we want to steal as well as different settings for 2nd, 3rd, and home. I rarely want my guys stealing 3rd. But if I lower the settings they don't steal 2nd either. This part of the game regularly frustrates me.
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durantjerry

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 6:47 pm

You interested in another NLD???
Sure
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durantjerry

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 6:48 pm

The most improbable stat is Farnsworth 42 saves only 9 blown

Farnsworth is good
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joethejet

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostMon Sep 17, 2012 7:11 pm

durantjerry wrote:You interested in another NLD???
Sure



DJ, check in on the NLD league chat and you're good to go! :D
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joethejet

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Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals

PostThu Sep 20, 2012 1:43 am

DJ,

Don't forget to check in on the NLD league chat. In addition to you, we're still looking for one more if anyone is interested.
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