Have You Seen Anything Like This?

Discuss different strategies for any of our player sets

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The Biomechanical Man

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Have You Seen Anything Like This?

PostSat Mar 16, 2019 10:28 am

I know that players get hot and cold in a game of chance by dumb luck, but I find it hard to believe that this was random variation, but not some kind of normalization control in the Strat software. Have you seen anything like this for any of your players? Do you think this is random? Nothing changed drastically during my season, regarding the percent of righties pitched, ballpark HR ratings, or hitter-pitcher card rolls.

This was an ATG8 theme league with old-time pitchers and modern hitters. I added an additional theme to my team for kicks, grabbing hitters in the same modern family. My team: https://365.strat-o-matic.com/team/1505163

THE FATHER: Bobby Bonds
1969 season 39 home runs
Strat season 37 home runs
Strat – first 126 games: 25 home runs
Strat – final 36 games: 12 home runs

THE SON: Barry Bonds
2004 season 45 home runs
Strat season 49 home runs
Strat – first 126 games: 49 home runs
Strat – final 36 games: 0 home runs

Did some kind of correction kick in to up Bobby’s HR’s and cap Barry’s HR’s? Can 2004 Bonds card really go the final 36 games (approximately 150 plate appearances) without a single home run?
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coyote303

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Re: Have You Seen Anything Like This?

PostMon Mar 18, 2019 10:39 pm

Thankfully, there is no correction or normalization factor in SOM. Both Bonds had the same chance to hit homeruns in their final 36 games as their first 126 games. It's interesting that the Bonds' stats ended up so close to real life, but it's coincidence that one got so hot and the other so cold to make that happen.
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The Biomechanical Man

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Re: Have You Seen Anything Like This?

PostMon Mar 18, 2019 11:24 pm

I hope you're right.
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Timball

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Re: Have You Seen Anything Like This?

PostWed Apr 10, 2019 7:50 pm

Quite a wild swing, especially for Barry's last 36 games...

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