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Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:05 pm
by Spider 67
joethejet wrote:
Well, the ratings would say your pitching has overperformed. I haven't done the luck factors or park factors yet. They can shed some light also.

Yeah, the East shows as the best in the ratings too.


I didn't state it, but was confirming your division evaluations.

I think my fielding has been much better than your ratings - my team is better than the league average in OF Assists, GDPs, X hits, X outs, SBs and PBs - fewer in CS, but not many have been trying to steal. Your ratings had me 7th and my take on the team through 126 games would have us 3rd (with Semper and Dale much better).

My pitching has been meh with the exception of Oberg - who seems to come up with wins after he blows a lead. Ryu has been frustrating, but is 14-7. I've been lucky on injuries - Stanton's only missed 28 games and UE/E, but I'd be surprised if luck factors have had much impact on my team, so far.

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Mon Jun 01, 2020 7:00 pm
by Semper Gumby
joethejet wrote:No comments at all????


With a $78m roster and still sporting 109+ run differential, I might be a few pieces of luck away from a decent season. The ratings give me a false sense of comfort that my draft wasn’t a complete mess.

A BIT surprised that the two west teams are in Joe’s top 5 ratings. Not sure how to equate that to all my pre roster moves and my I’ll advised mid season changes -

The big finding is going long on pitching in a pitcher park might be a decent strategy.

Having not the time this season to spend on the draft, I sort of did it with my eyes closed and woke up half way through with a quartet of pitchers with zero position players.

Certainly made Joe think once or twice about my half assed backwards picks.

Did as much in the ATG barnstormers after a 8 year hiatus kicking off with the $60m event. UGH. So far, my team is bouncing along Okay.

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Mon Jun 01, 2020 7:32 pm
by Semper Gumby
joethejet wrote:No comments at all????


And, it goes without saying, thank you for pulling the ratings together!

:D :D :D :D :D

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Mon Jun 01, 2020 11:26 pm
by milleram
Joe

As always--I appreciate the ratings for the seasons I have played---surprised at my rating as I have always been mid-pack down in previous seasons.

I think my offence may be a bit over rated--simply because it is an injury type team, and a lot of missed games.

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2020 1:43 am
by joethejet
Spider 67 wrote:
joethejet wrote:
Well, the ratings would say your pitching has overperformed. I haven't done the luck factors or park factors yet. They can shed some light also.

Yeah, the East shows as the best in the ratings too.


I didn't state it, but was confirming your division evaluations.

I think my fielding has been much better than your ratings - my team is better than the league average in OF Assists, GDPs, X hits, X outs, SBs and PBs - fewer in CS, but not many have been trying to steal. Your ratings had me 7th and my take on the team through 126 games would have us 3rd (with Semper and Dale much better).

My pitching has been meh with the exception of Oberg - who seems to come up with wins after he blows a lead. Ryu has been frustrating, but is 14-7. I've been lucky on injuries - Stanton's only missed 28 games and UE/E, but I'd be surprised if luck factors have had much impact on my team, so far.


Spider, just one comment off the top here. Don't you start 4's in LF and RF v RHP? Either that or a 4e25 every game at 1b? Your D is pretty hit and miss, I'll give you that but your misses aren't small. Your D is middle of the pack, but I would say that the top five (Semp, Big A, Dale, Stoney and JTJ) are all a good distance ahead of you.

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2020 8:23 am
by Spider 67
joethejet wrote:
Spider 67 wrote:
joethejet wrote:
Well, the ratings would say your pitching has overperformed. I haven't done the luck factors or park factors yet. They can shed some light also.

Yeah, the East shows as the best in the ratings too.


I didn't state it, but was confirming your division evaluations.

I think my fielding has been much better than your ratings - my team is better than the league average in OF Assists, GDPs, X hits, X outs, SBs and PBs - fewer in CS, but not many have been trying to steal. Your ratings had me 7th and my take on the team through 126 games would have us 3rd (with Semper and Dale much better).

My pitching has been meh with the exception of Oberg - who seems to come up with wins after he blows a lead. Ryu has been frustrating, but is 14-7. I've been lucky on injuries - Stanton's only missed 28 games and UE/E, but I'd be surprised if luck factors have had much impact on my team, so far.


Spider, just one comment off the top here. Don't you start 4's in LF and RF v RHP? Either that or a 4e25 every game at 1b? Your D is pretty hit and miss, I'll give you that but your misses aren't small. Your D is middle of the pack, but I would say that the top five (Semp, Big A, Dale, Stoney and JTJ) are all a good distance ahead of you.



Joe, I'm not saying my D SHOULD be better, just that through 126 games it is the 3rd best in actual results. I base that on the following factors vs. the league average - OF Assists (22 vs. 19.8), GDPs (124 vs. 100.9), errors (57 vs. 63.9) X Hits (113 vs. 100.3), X Outs (434 vs. 412.3), SBs (27 vs. 42.3), CS (8 vs. 14.8), and PBs (2 vs. 7.4). I also apply a Runs effect multiplier for each of those factors to arrive at net effect of D on Runs allowed.

I start Happ (4e25) at 1B every game. I prefer Canha at LF and Mazara (-2) in RF vs. RHP. I may just be lucky, so far, with those risks.

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2020 9:26 am
by dalekeener
As far as performance goes, my team has passed on that idea this season.... :cry:

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Wed Jun 03, 2020 12:49 am
by joethejet
Spider 67 wrote:
Joe, I'm not saying my D SHOULD be better, just that through 126 games it is the 3rd best in actual results. I base that on the following factors vs. the league average - OF Assists (22 vs. 19.8), GDPs (124 vs. 100.9), errors (57 vs. 63.9) X Hits (113 vs. 100.3), X Outs (434 vs. 412.3), SBs (27 vs. 42.3), CS (8 vs. 14.8), and PBs (2 vs. 7.4). I also apply a Runs effect multiplier for each of those factors to arrive at net effect of D on Runs allowed.

I start Happ (4e25) at 1B every game. I prefer Canha at LF and Mazara (-2) in RF vs. RHP. I may just be lucky, so far, with those risks.


Ah, yes, I'm sure your Luck Factor will reflect a few breaks here ;) Happ is an e25 and has only made 9. That's pretty darn luck this late in the season. He should have had 12 by the half-way point. I'm sure every team (more or less) has an anomaly or two. I mean a team might have a pitcher who is 18-0 or something. ;) Just sayin'..... :lol:

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Wed Jun 03, 2020 1:03 am
by joethejet
milleram wrote:Joe

As always--I appreciate the ratings for the seasons I have played---surprised at my rating as I have always been mid-pack down in previous seasons.

I think my offence may be a bit over rated--simply because it is an injury type team, and a lot of missed games.


You're welcome.

Well, you might be unlucky with injuries. The ratings assume "expected" game loss.

Re: nlD 53 - The "Big D" League

PostPosted: Wed Jun 03, 2020 1:09 am
by joethejet
Semper Gumby wrote:
joethejet wrote:No comments at all????


With a $78m roster and still sporting 109+ run differential, I might be a few pieces of luck away from a decent season. The ratings give me a false sense of comfort that my draft wasn’t a complete mess.

A BIT surprised that the two west teams are in Joe’s top 5 ratings. Not sure how to equate that to all my pre roster moves and my I’ll advised mid season changes -

The big finding is going long on pitching in a pitcher park might be a decent strategy.

Having not the time this season to spend on the draft, I sort of did it with my eyes closed and woke up half way through with a quartet of pitchers with zero position players.

Certainly made Joe think once or twice about my half assed backwards picks.

Did as much in the ATG barnstormers after a 8 year hiatus kicking off with the $60m event. UGH. So far, my team is bouncing along Okay.


Well, going long with pitchers in a pitcher's park AND getting offense that overperforms is a recipe for +105. Let me know how you can get an O that overperforms every time ;)